PLEASE NOTE:
*
CCNet DEBATE, 28 October 1998: MYTHS, LEGENDS & HISTORICAL
IMPACTS
(1) THE MERLIN 'VISION' AND THE 6th CENTURY 'EVENT'
    John Michael <morieninstitute@angelfire.com>
(2) WORKNOTES ON A MAJOR IMPACT EVENT RECORDED IN AINU FOLKLORE
    E.P. Grondine <epgrondine@hotmail.com>
(3) THE DAY THE SANDS CAUGHT FIRE
    Bob Kobres <bkobres@arches.uga.edu>
=============
(1) THE MERLIN 'VISION' AND THE 6th CENTURY 'EVENT'
From John Michael <morieninstitute@angelfire.com>
Dear Benny,
Reading again through Bob Kobres post of  October 5 last,
"Searching 
for historical impacts",  I was moved to reach for my
copy of Geoffrey 
of Monmouth's "Vita Merlini" the "Life of
Merlin"(Basil Clarke edition, 
University of Wales Press, 1973).
Though it had been many years since I had picked it up, and was
more 
familiar with it then fresh in my mind, I recalled the two
versions of 
the supposed reason why Merlin (Myrddin in the Welsh) was said to
have 
claimed he fled into the woods following the battle of Arfderydd.
The 
later Christianised version of this tale attributes Merlin's
wanderings 
in the wild woods to feelings of guilt, blaming himself for the
deaths 
of so many in the battle, and as a Christian in penitence for
this 
dreadful sin. But Basil Clarke expressed the view that:
"This 'saintly resolution' is a hagiographical device which
was 
probably grafted onto the Arfderydd tale through it's later
association 
with  Kentigern".
There are three versions of the 'wild man of the woods' tale. In
the 
Scottish version he is known as Lailoken. In the Irish version
Suibhne 
Geilt, and in the Welsh version Myrddin. The Scottish version has
the 
Merlin figure, Lailoken, telling his reasons for fleeing to the
woods 
in the midst of the battle of Arfderydd to St. Kentigern. As
Basil 
Clarke relates it:
"In that fight the sky began to split above me, and I heard
a 
tremendous din, a voice from the sky saying to me 'Lailochen, 
Lailochen, because you alone are responsible for the blood of all
these 
dead men, you alone will bear the punishment for the misdeeds of
all.  
For you will be given over to the angels of Satan, and until the
day of 
your death you will have communion with the creatures of the
wood.'  
But when I directed my gaze towards the voice I heard, I saw a 
brightness too great for human senses to endure.  I saw,
too, 
numberless martial battalions in the heaven like flashing
lightening, 
holding in their hands fiery lances and glittering spears which
they 
shook most fiercely at me."
The original pagan version so it seems, and there is no room to
enter 
into the details regarding the versions here, attributes Merlin's
reasons for fleeing to the wild woods as solely due to the
'vision'.  
In a lecture delivered in the Faculty of Medieval and Modern
European 
Languages and Literature at Oxford University on June 2nd.
1976,  by 
A.O.H. Jarman entitled "Early stages in the development of
the Myrddin 
legend",  he focusses on it as well:
"He also saw a vision, 'numberless martial battalions in the
heaven 
like flashing lightening,  holding in their hands fiery
lances and 
glittering spears which they shook fiercely' at him. This was 
accompanied by a 'brightness too great for human senses to
endure'.  It 
was this that brought about his madness and drove him to the
forest."
Here Jarman has a footnote with the original Latin, and I include
it 
for the record:
"Cum autem ad vocem quam audiui meum direxi intuitum, vidi
splendorum 
nimium quem natura humana sustinere non potuit.  Vidi etiam 
innumerabiles phalanges exercitus in aera fulguri similes
chorusco, 
lanceus igneus,  et tela scintillancia in manibus tenentes,
que 
crudelissime in me vibrabant."
Jarman goes on to point out that this version is mentioned in
only one 
Welsh source, the "Itinerarium Kambiae" of Giraldus
Cambrensis, who:
"..does not refer to any consciousness of guilt on the part
of Myrddin; 
his emphasis is on the dreadful character of the vision, which he
regards as the cause of Myrddin's lapse."
Interestingly the battle of Arfderydd is recorded in the oldest
text of 
the "Annales Cambriae" as having occurred in the year
AD 573,  and 
this in turn reminded me of an earlier post to the CCNet by Joel
D. 
Gunn regarding the AD 536 'event' and the upheaval of the 6th
century. 
Could this tale of the 'vision' by the Merlin figure be a
recollection 
of a fragmenting comet/asteroid 'event', with the 'tremendous
din' 
being of  a tunguska-like  airburst?  It made me
wonder about the 
mention in that post, which I then looked up in the CCNet
archive:
"In other areas such as southern Britain, history and
archaeology are 
combined with mythology and poetry to fathom the consequences at
the 
time of  King Arthur."
Perhaps those present at the Southeastern Archaeological
Conference 
could enlighten us on whether or not this 'vision' of 
Merlin was 
mentioned there,  and has it appeared  in the
discussions on the Late 
Antiquity list, as the given date of AD 573 for the battle of
Arfderydd 
could easily be out by as little as 37 years?
John Michael
The Morien Institute
Bangor
CYMRU
http://www.angelfire.com/mi/morieninstitute
==============
(2) WORKNOTES ON A MAJOR IMPACT EVENT RECORDED IN AINU FOLKLORE
From E.P. Grondine <epgrondine@hotmail.com>
Benny - 
     Following Dr. S Yabushita's estimate of
1 major tsunami in Japan 
every 10,000 years caused by an impact event (CC Digest, 23
September, 
1988), as well as Bryant, Steel, Snow, and Spedicato's work on
the 
"Great Wall of Water", my curiousity was picqued as to
whether some 
major impact caused tsunami might be remembered in the myths of
Japan.  
In as much as they are widely thought to be the most ancient
people in 
Japan, I decided to look through the myths of the Ainu.
    I have to report that my search for memories
of impact caused 
tsunami events in Ainu myth has resulted in failure.  It
appears that 
the Ainu's ancestors were pretty much blown off the face of the
Earth by 
an impact event in historically "recent" times, thus
ending any earlier 
tsunami myth tradition that they may have had:
   (From Sakhalin Ainu Folklore, Emiko Ohnuki-Tierney,
Anthropological
Studies, ed. Ward H. Goodenough, American Anthropological
Association, 
Washington, D.C., 1969)
    "Long ago, there was a settlement on the
shore. It was a 
settlement with very many people.
     "And while they lived in this
manner, one day there was a strange 
sound.  And the people went outside to look about, and
indeed there was 
something which looked like a demon.  Its only eye was like
a full
moon; it was a demon with a large eye.  Thereafter the demon
came out 
every night. 
    "And it tore apart and swallowed all of
the people of the 
settlement, and they were gone. Although the settlement was full
of 
people, it tore apart and swallowed all of the people. 
While doing so, 
it ate all of the people who filled the settlement and then they
were 
gone.
    "And at all the houses both inside and
outside there were indeed 
only dried up bones.
     "Now the settlement had become
completely empty.  And one day, 
the god of the sky, Grandfather Sky God, went down to the ground
to 
investigate.
     "He walked around all of the houses
and found that they were empty.  
There were houses which were falling down.  There were
houses
which had fallen.  
      "At the end of the settlement
there was another house which was
falling down.  Then he went into the house.  As he went
in and looked
about, a very small child was crying hard in the corner of the
house.
      "When he picked it up and
looked at it, it was a very good looking 
baby boy.  Then he thought thus: "At least I want to
save the little 
boy", he thought thus.
      "He picked up the little boy
and went to the side of the hearth.
Now the Grandfather made a fire.
       "Then he went out of
the house.  After he went outside he went to 
the various houses and looked about: Outside of every house there
were 
indeed only human bones."
    In other words, a Tunguska type blast came
pretty well near 
extincting some of these folks.  The houses were blown down,
and 
everyone was pretty much killed on their doorstep, as they had
gone 
outdoors to look at the impactor.  There were a few
survivors, an old 
man and one child (who goes on to become the founder of the Ainu 
people), who most likely survived because they were unable to
leave the 
shelter of their houses.
    The tale as it is recorded captures a new
national foundation myth 
as it was evolving.  The child is raised by the grandfather,
and then so 
that the grandfather may return to space, our hero slays the
demon.  
"His one eye was as big as a full moon, his upper jaw
reaching the sky 
and lower jaw reaching the ground."  Our hero slays the
demon, 
Grandfather Sky God returns to space, and our hero continues his 
travels:
     "When I went outside, I looked
around and found a huge dirt road 
going to the next settlement on the shore. I went along the
road"
      The size of this road indicates a
large former population.
      "After travelling, I arrived
at dusk at the settlement on the 
shore.  As usual, I looked around, and it looked like my own
settlement. 
As I looked in various directions, I saw only empty houses."
      Since this settlement is at least
two days travel distant from 
our hero's home settlement, the area destroyed by the impact most
likely 
was fairly large.
      "And when I looked at the far
end of the settlement, there was one 
grass hut."
       The Ainu built wooden
houses, and the grass hut indicates 
a quickly and poorly built shelter.
       "And at the grass hut a
thin stream of smoke was coming out.  I 
went to the side of the grass hut.  Then when I came to the
side of the 
grass hut, I listened, but heard no human voice. 
       "Even then, as I looked
at the smoke-hole, a little smoke was 
coming out.  Then I cleared my throat.  And inside the
house a voice 
spoke to me:
       "'From where are you,
and who are you who walked at this late 
hour?  Come in, come in by yourself', the voice said to me.
       "Therefore I
entered.  As I went in and looked, I found an 
elderly woman with completely white hair alone.  Then I went
to the 
upper side and sat.
       "And the grandmother,
while crying, collapsed on me, and told me 
in tears:
       "'Some huge deity cut
(the people) in pieces and swallowed them.  
So all of the people who were in my settlement on the shore were
cut in 
pieces and swallowed, and they are gone."
       Grandmother cooks dinner and
does other wifely things for our 
hero, who then goes on to slay the demon god's wife-demon. 
After being 
thanked by the grandmother, our hero returns to his own
settlement and 
then goes on to yet a third settlement, where he finds enough
people to 
re-populate both his own settlement and the
"grandmother's" settlement.  
Whether a third settlement actually survived or not is
questionable, as 
it may have been created to avoid an incest taboo:
       "While living in this
manner [probably best translated as 'While 
mortal' - epg] I married a woman and later had a boy and a
girl.  While 
living in this manner I lived with my boy and girl.  While
living my 
life in this manner, I became very old and completely died. 
I moved my 
residence from this world to the country of the gods.
       "As I later heard the
news from the world of the living Ainu, I 
learned that my children were very strong and vigourous, as I
used to be 
while in the world of the living Ainu; they had become even
greater than 
I; I thus heard the news from the world of the living Ainu."
FROM MYTH TO HISTORY
      The first thing that needs to be
done at this point is to address 
the OMG factor.  Just say: "oh my god! oh my god! oh my
god!"  three 
times or so.  There, everyone feeling better?
       As for trying to actually
place and date the impact event which 
led to this myth, I simply state that I am totally unequiped to 
undertake the task.  Most of the primary western
ethnographic materials 
on the Ainu were collected by missionaries, and show their 
religious 
bias, and even later ethnographers were unable to face square on
the 
Ainu's religious beliefs.  Most modern ethnographic
materials are in 
Japanese, of which I know nothing, except for a few words taught
me by 
my judo teacher when I was 8 years old.  As for the modern
Japanese 
archaeological excavation reports, I know nothing more of them
than what 
a few pictures in the Japanese children's science magazine Newton
have 
shown.  I wouldn't attempt serious work in this area without
having at 
least $350,000 cash on hand to buy the expertise in these areas, 
expertise which I simply do not possess.
      As for any Japanese researcher, my
guess is that he or she is 
going to have trouble facing Japan's own foundation myths. 
If western 
parallels with the Israelites/Canaanites and Romans/Etruscans are
any 
guide, the ecological niche which the Ainu occupied before the
impact 
event was most likely immediately occupied after the blast by
emigrating 
Japanese.
      Ever wonder why the Emperor of
Japan is descended from the Sun?
AINU RELIGIOUS WORDS AND OFFERINGS
     That said, it is interesting to note
that the Ainu refer to all 
gods as "kamui".  I once saw this word mentioned
long ago as an 
alternative Indo-European etymology for our own word comet, as an
alternative to the Greek "horse's mane" derivation. 
     What seems likely to me is that after
the pounding they took the 
Ainu stopped using other words for gods and just began to use
"kamui"; 
and thus our own comet is most likely derived from something like
"kome" + "t'e", or "comet"
+"god".
     It is also interesting to note that the
Ainu manufactured "inao" as 
offerings to all of their gods.  Imagine if you will an
upright pole, at 
the top of which has been fastened ribbon streamers cut from
wood, an 
assemblage looking much like the tail of a comet.  At the
heart of these 
"inao" is a hollow, at the head, where the streamers
are attached to the 
pole, and here the Ainu placed a burning ember from a fire: the
comet's 
nucleus, in a word.
SOME NOTES ON AINU COSMOLOGY 
BY THE REVEREND JOHN BATCHELOR, F.R.G.S.,
C.M.S. MISSIONARY TO THE AINU, from 
THE AINU AND THEIR FOLKLORE, 
The Religious Tract Society, London, 1901
To further complicate the situation, Ainu myths were (are?) not
uniform, 
and they are seldom separated out into their different streams by
the 
ethnographers.  There are several variant cosmologies,
including one 
which seems to have preserved memory of other major impact
events.
"Yet though their conception of Tartarus seems to differ
from  
from both the Greek and Christian representations in some
respects, it 
is found to agree with them in other respects.  As regards
place, it is 
thought by the Ainu to be situated at the very confines of all
created 
worlds.  There are supposed by some to be SIX [my capitals -
epg] worlds 
beneath this upon which we dwell.  The very lowest of these
is called 
"chirama moshiri", the lowest world.  I can find
no word better suited 
to designate this place than Homer's Tartarus.  
"But as regards the nature of this land, it is not supposed
by the Ainu 
to be a place of darkness.  It is said to be a very
beautiful country, 
and as full of light as this world; and it seems not to be the
prison 
house or abode of fallen angels or any other living beings,
whether they 
be gods, men, or demons.
"The thunder god, or more properly the thunder demon, after
once waging 
war upon this earth, is said to have proceeded to do so in heaven
[this 
is literally space in Ainu - epg], because this world was unable
to 
stand such a grievous conflict.  The Creator [Batchelor's
capitals-epg], 
who resides in heaven above, was very much distressed at this,
and sent 
the demons to fight in "chirama moshiri",
Tartarus.  Here the thunder 
demon was slain, and, as no god or demon can actually die, his
spirit 
again ascended to its original home, namely, the lower heavens or
clouds.
"It was stated in the last chapter that the demon of thunder
once fought 
a very great battle, and that he, , when defeated in
"chirama moshiri", 
ascended to his original home in the lower skies.  That home
is thought 
to lie at the very confines of the air.  Though some Ainu
say that there 
are SIX [my capitals-epg] skies above us, yet I have been able to
get 
the names of five only.  The lower heavens are called
"urara kando", or 
'fog skies'; the next "range kando", or 'hanging
skies'; then follows 
the "nochino kando', or 'star bearing skies'; after these
follow 
"shinish kando", or 'the high skies of the clouds'; and
lastly "shirik 
un kando", or 'the skies in the most high'.  
"The highest heavens are supposed to be inclosed and guarded
by a mighty 
metal wall or fence, and the entrance to them has a large iron
gate.  I 
have frequently heard the Ainu speaking of the opening and
shutting of 
this iron gate of heaven.
"The highest heaven is said to be the special home of the
Creator and 
the more important order of angels.  The second or 'star
bearing skies' 
comprise the dwelling place of the second order of gods and their
angels.  Demons are supposed to reside in the clouds and air
immediately 
surrounding our earth.
"Just as we find that the Ainu very frequently apply
materialistic 
expressions to immaterial spirit, so, it is very interesting to
remark, 
they often import most materialistic ideas into their conception
of 
heaven; and yet, all things considered, it is so intensely
natural that 
they should do so that we cannot possibly wonder at them or call
them 
unreasonable for doing so.  The Ainu have had no Christian
revelation, 
to inform them as to the nature of heaven, and that they or
anyone else 
should have any connate or intuitive knowledge therof, is, I
suppose, 
altogether out of the question."
[From this you get some idea of the problem the Reverend and
other 
missionaries had with accounting for caucasians (white folk) who
were 
not Christian, and who were not as advanced in their material
culture  
as their Japanese contemporaries, who were widely held by
Europeans to 
be inferior to themselves.-epg]
"As heaven, according to their ideas, is surrounded by a
metal wall and 
has an iron gate, so the Creator is supposed to reside in an iron
house.
"The deity who is supposed to hold the most important office
next to the 
great Creator of all may be said to be the goddess of the sun,
for she 
is conceived of as being the special ruler of the good things God
has 
made and fixed in the universe.  The Ainu are also believers
in a god of 
the moon, as might be expected.
"There is not much to be said about the stars, except that
they are not 
worshipped, though the term for 'god' is sometimes, but not
generally, 
applied to them. The term 'god' is merely used of them on account
of 
their usefulness in the system of Nature, particularly out of
regard to 
their usefulness in giving light. 
[The Reverend once again is having his troubles - epg]
"Comets are known by the name of 'broom star', and the Milky
Way is 
called 'the picture of the crooked river'.  This 'crooked
river' or 
Milky Way is also sometimes called 'the river of the gods', and
various 
deities are supposed to spend much of their time on this 'river'
in 
catching fish. 
"The appearance of a comet is regarded with fear and
consternation, for 
it is regarded to be the sure forerunner of some dreadful
calamity, as, 
for instance, war, disease, famine, or death.
[Little wonder there - epg]
"We are informed by some Ainu that the Creator is supposed
to have used 
no less than three score of mattocks in the work of knocking this
world 
into shape.
"As regards the tools which were used in the formation of
Yezo [Island], 
it is said that there is a rock upon the sea shore near Mouran
called by 
the name "mukara-so--i.e. 'axe rock'", which is thought
to be the very 
axe which one of the deities worked in making this island. 
It remains 
where it was thrown down, for no man has been able to move this
mighty 
tool.  Certainly the rock can by a violent stretch of the
imagination be 
said to look something like an axe, hence, I suppose, the idea as
to how 
it came there.  But then the exact from of the rock need not
trouble one 
now, for axes in those days may not have been quite of the same
shape as 
they are now."
Perhaps the following from Ohnuki-Tierney, op.cit., may clear up
the 
Reverend's confusion:
"Tale 14: Iron forging
"The Ainu at Ma:nuy on the east coast of Sakhalin kept
hearing the sound 
of pounding from the top of the Totorohohke Mountain (called 
Totoroki-toge by the Japanese).  One day several elders
planned to 
investigate. When they reached the top of the mountain, they
found 
several good-looking men with fox-tails engaged in forging
iron.  The 
elders suddenly made a loud sound, which surprised the men and
caused 
them to run away, leaving behind all of their tools for forging
iron, 
and their production consisting of swords, sheaths, and other
goods.
"This is how the Ainu learned the technique of forging iron
from the fox 
gods.
Now that we have some insight as to Axe Rock, we return to the
Reverend:
"And they tell us that these tools were all thrown away when
done with, 
and that they gradually decomposed where they lay.  When far
advanced in 
decomposition the constituent parts of some become demons, others
bad 
water, while some of them grow into trees which originate some
kinds of 
disease.  The chief of these demons so produced is called by
the name 
"Nitat unarabe--i.e.'aunt of the swamps' or 'marshes'",
and she as her 
name implies, is supposed to have her home in low and marshy 
localities."
So then Ainu myths contains references to at least 2 different
impact 
events.  The impact events referred to in this series of
creation myths 
is quite distinct from that in the hero myth.  In these
creation myths 
the impacts lead to the formation of swamps, most likely through
blast, 
while in the hero myth the impact blew down the houses and killed
nearly 
all the people.
So that's it, Benny.  I'm sure that all this myth is
ultimately going to 
lead to nice dissertations for several people, including a
careful 
reworking of reverend Batchelor's works, notes, and
correspondence; as 
well as to some other people finding some very nice
meteorites.  But 
whoever they are, barring about $350,000 suddenly coming my way,
my 
guess is that I will not among them.
                            
Until next time - 
                            
Best wishes from Washington 
                            
from your very tired
correspondent,         
                                          
Ed
==============================
(3) THE DAY THE SANDS CAUGHT FIRE
From Bob Kobres <bkobres@arches.uga.edu>
FYI: Scientific American has made an excellent Wabar-crater
article, 
The Day the Sands Caught Fire, by Jeffrey C. Wynn and Eugene M. 
Shoemaker, available at:
http://www.sciam.com/1998/1198issue/1198wynn.html
Another Wabar paper (previously reported on the CC-net) by the
same authors is at:
http://minerals.er.usgs.gov/emrst/wynn/3wabar.html
bobk
Bob Kobres
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Disasters in Historical Times: The Astronomical Framework 
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David W. Pankenier: Heaven-Sent: Understanding Cosmic Disaster in
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NATURAL CATASTROPHES DURING BRONZE AGE CIVILISATIONS 
Archaeological, geological, astronomical and cultural
perspectives.
Edited by Benny J. Peiser, Trevor Palmer and Mark E. Bailey. 
Archaeopress, Oxford, 1998.
INTRODUCTION
Benny J. Peiser
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Trueman Street, Liverpool, L3 3AF, UK
Trevor Palmer
Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Nottingham Trent University, 
Clifton Lane, Nottingham, NG11 8NS, UK
Mark E. Bailey
Armagh Observatory, College Hill, Armagh, BT61 9DG, Northern 
Ireland, UK
1. Background
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Civilisations: Archaeological, Geological, Astronomical and
Cultural 
Perspectives", was held at Fitzwilliam College between 11-13
July 1997. 
The one hundred or so participants, who came from as far afield
as 
North America, Australasia and Japan, as well as from all corners
of 
Europe, were a vibrant blend of enthusiastic amateurs and
professionals 
from all the subject areas under consideration, in keeping with
the 
traditions of the SIS. The event was dedicated to the SIS 
Vice-Chairman, Geoffrey Bennett, who organised the First
Cambridge 
Conference, but was unable to attend the Second because of
terminal 
illness.
The SIS was formed in 1975 to provide a forum for the discussion
of all 
aspects of catastrophism and chronology. At that time, the
gradualist 
paradigm was supremely dominant, as it had been throughout the
previous 
hundred years, and any attempts to suggest catastrophist
explanations 
for events in geology, evolution or ancient history were viewed
with 
great suspicion and generally ignored [12, 28, 30, 41]. That fate
certainly greeted the publication in 1948 of Claude Schaeffers
"Stratigraphie comparée et chronologie de lAsie
occidentale" [32], 
despite the eminence of the author, who at various times occupied
chairs at the École de Louvre and the Collège de France [10]. 
Schaeffers main professional achievement was the excavation
of a tell 
at Ras Shamra in Syria, which he was able to identify as ancient 
Ugarit.
On the basis of findings here and at other sites throughout the
Middle 
East, Schaeffer claimed that there had been at least five
occasions in 
the Bronze Age when catastrophic destructions occurred in
widespread 
fashion, often with evidence of earthquakes and/or fire.
Two of these were in the Early Bronze Age, the first around 2300
BC, 
co-incident with the end of the Old Kingdom in Egypt, involving
sites 
in Syria (Byblos, Hama and Ugarit), Palestine (Beth Shan) and
Anatolia 
(Alaça Hüyük, Alishar, Tarsos and Troy), whilst the second
occurred 
perhaps 200 years later, affecting many of these same locations, 
together with others such as Bait Mirsim, Jericho and Tell
el-Ajjul in 
Palestine and Tell Brak in Mesopotamia. The end of the Middle
Bronze 
Age was marked by destructions at many sites, including Ugarit in
Syria, Beit Mirsim, Jericho, Bethel, Hazor and Lachish in
Palestine, 
Alaça Hüyük, Alishar and Boghazköy in Anatolia and Tepe Gawra
in 
Mesopotamia. This was also the time the Hyksos invaded Egypt.
Schaeffer 
further claimed that there were two episodes of widespread
catastrophic 
destruction in the Late Bronze Age, the first around 1365 BC, the
time 
of the Amarna Period in Egypt, affecting locations in Syria
(Alalakh 
and Ugarit), Palestine (Beit Mirsim, Beth Shan, Megiddo, Tell
Hesi, 
Beth Shemesh, Lachish and Ashkelon),  Anatolia (Boghasköy,
Tarsos and 
Troy) and Mesopotamia (Chagar Bazar and Tell Brak), and the other
around 1200 BC, bringing to an end some Bronze Age cultures, with
destructions at most of the same sites in Syria, Palestine and
Anatolia 
as in the previous wave [8,22,31].
Schaeffer was convinced that these catastrophic destructions were
the 
result of natural events, rather than human activity. However, he
was 
undecided as to the precise causes, although undoubtedly
favouring the 
involvement of earthquakes. He did not consider the possibility
of the 
involvement of extraterrestrial factors, a point picked up by the
Belgian amateur geologist, René Gallant, in his 1964 book,
Bombarded 
Earth [8]. 
Gallant (who was to become an SIS member, and who addressed a
Society 
meeting in London in 1984, shortly before his death [25]) argued
that 
the seismic activity and climate changes which, according to the 
evidence provided by Schaeffer, occurred at the times of the 
destructions, were both likely to have resulted from large
meteoritic 
impacts. Bombarded Earth, however, received even less attention
than 
Schaeffers major work had done.
However, if the ideas of Schaeffer and Gallant made very little 
impression on the consciousness of others, a very different
reaction, 
although one which was no more positive, greeted those of another
catastrophist, the Russian-born psychoanalyst, Immanuel
Velikovsky. 
Largely on the basis of myths from around the world, Velikovsky
came to 
the conclusion that several of the planets of the Solar System
had 
threatened the Earth in historical times. In particular, he
believed 
that Venus had caused major catastrophes by passing close to the
Earth 
at a time corresponding to the end of the Middle Bronze Age in
the 
Middle East, and Mars did similarly a few hundred years later.
These 
ideas were outlined in his 1950 book, Worlds in Collision [35].
Despite the mythological origin of Velikovskys ideas, he
made several 
successful scientific predictions in Worlds in Collision and at a
graduate forum at Princeton University, a transcript of this talk
subsequently being included as a supplement to his later book,
Earth in 
Upheaval [37]. Amongst these predictions were that Jupiter would
be 
found to emit radio waves and that, contrary to what was
generally 
believed at the time, the surface of Venus was very hot.
Furthermore, by comparing accounts of catastrophies in different 
traditions, Velikovsky came to the conclusion that the currently 
accepted chronologies of certain civilisations were incorrect,
and 
that the supposed Dark Ages between the Bronze Age
and the Iron 
Age periods in Greece (and similar ones elsewhere) had never
existed. 
His proposals for a revised chronology for the ancient world were
given 
in Ages in Chaos and subsequent books [36, 38, 39].
The eminent physicist Albert Einstein, who from 1921- 1924 had
been 
co-editor with Velikovsky of the Scripta Universitatis atque 
Bibliothecae Hierosolymitarum, from which the Hebrew University
of 
Jerusalem was to grow, found his compilation of evidence for 
catastrophic events at the Earths surface convincing, but
not his 
proposed mechanism of planetary interactions. On the other hand, 
because of Velikovskys correct predictions, he considered
his ideas to 
be worthy of further study. Many other academics took a different
view, 
however, and in America there was an attempt to suppress
publication of 
Velikovskys books [13, 40, 42].
For a while there was little knowledge of these events in
Britain, but 
then, in 1973, archaeologist Euan MacKie wrote in New Scientist
that, 
no matter whether Velikovsky was right or wrong, he had
formulated 
hypotheses which should be tested in the normal way [17]. In the
same 
year, he suggested in Pensée that radiocarbon dating might
provide the 
evidence for a test of Velikovskys theories of global
catastrophes and 
chronological revisions [18].
A year later, on the 5th November 1974, MacKie discussed related 
matters with Harold Tresman, Brian Moore and Martin Sieff over a
meal 
at the Regent Palace Hotel in Picadilly and, as a direct
consequence, 
the SIS came into being. The inaugural meeting took place at the 
Library Association Building, London, in November 1975, with
Tresman in 
the Chair, and 70 members present [34]. (Happily, three of the
four 
founding members of SIS, the exception being Sieff, were present
at the 
Second Cambridge Conference, with MacKie presenting a paper and
Moore 
chairing a session.)
From 1975 onwards, regular debates have taken place at SIS
meetings, 
and in the pages of the Societys journal, the SIS Review,
later 
re-named the Chronology and Catastrophism Review. To avoid
possible 
misunderstandings, it was made clear right from the start that
the 
Society had been formed to examine the ideas of Velikovsky and
other 
catastrophists, not to promote any particular point of view [34].
Of Velikovskys several claims, the only one which has made
significant 
progress towards widespread acceptance is his general one that
the 
history of life has been shaped by major catastrophes to a far
greater 
extent than his contemporaries realised. Partly that has come
about 
because of increased knowledge of the threat from asteroids and
comets 
in Earth-crossing orbits, together with the growing realisation
that 
many of the craters at the Earths surface, previously
thought to be of 
volcanic origin, were in fact formed by impacts. Also, many 
previously-sceptical scientists started to become receptive to 
catastrophist arguments when physicist Luis Alvarez and
colleagues 
showed, in 1980, that the end of the Cretaceous Period 65 million
years 
ago, when the dinosaurs and many other groups of animals became 
extinct, is marked in rocks around the world by a high
concentration of 
iridium. This metal is largely absent from the Earths
crust, but 
present in abundant amounts in extraterrestrial materials, and
taken 
together the evidence suggested the possibility that the
extinctions 
could have been linked to the impact of a large asteroid or comet
[1, 
6, 7, 23, 26, 28, 30, 33, 41].
So far as the historical record is concerned, orthodox opinion
has 
remained unconvinced about the need to make any major revisions
to the 
established chronologies of ancient civilisations, but challenges
continue to be made. In 1978, the SIS, in collaboration with the 
Extra-Mural Department of Glasgow University, organised its first
residential conference to discuss the issues. It was entitled
Ages in 
Chaos? and held at the Jordanhill College of Education. The
consensus 
which emerged at the conference was that there were indeed
problems 
with the conventional chronologies but, equally, there were major
difficulties with Velikovskys proposed revisions [2, 11,
15]. Since 
then, several historians with SIS associations, including Gunnar 
Heinsohn [14], Peter James [16] and David Rohl [31], have gone on
to 
propose revised chronologies different from those of Velikovsky,
and 
from each other. 
Velikovskys belief that the planets Mars and Venus, now in
stable 
orbits, could have passed sufficiently close to the Earth in
historical 
times to have caused global catastrophes, cannot be reconciled
with the 
known laws of physics, so, although planetary catastrophism still
receives enthusiastic support in some quarters, it has been
firmly 
rejected by professional scientists [27, 28, 33, 41].  
The British astronomers, Victor Clube and Bill Napier, have 
acknowledged that Velikovsky may have been correct in suggesting 
that some myths might have been derived from objects which had
been 
prominent in the ancient sky, and caused catastrophes on Earth,
but 
these cosmic bodies must have been comets, not planets. By 
extrapolating backwards in time the orbits of Enckes Comet,
the Taurid 
meteor stream and associated Apollo asteroids, Clube and Napier 
concluded that all were products of a huge comet which came into
an 
Earth-crossing orbit around 20,000 years ago and began to break
up, 
with particular disintegration events occurring about 7500 and
2700 BC. 
Fragments would have struck the Earth at intervals throughout the
Bronze Age, with devastating consequences [6, 7]. Clube put these
ideas 
before the general public for the first time at an SIS meeting in
London in 1982, and developed them at another in Nottingham the 
following year [5, 23]. The model which he and Napier advocate,
that 
small but frequent impacts occur as a consequence of the break-up
of a 
giant comet, has been termed coherent catastrophism, in contrast
to 
stochastic catastrophism, which involves larger individual
impacts 
occurring in isolated fashion over long intervals of time [33,
40].
In an issue of SIS Review published in 1979, Euan MacKie followed
up 
his earlier suggestion of using radiocarbon dating to test for
possible 
correlations between catastrophic events in different locations
by 
carrying out a survey of published data. He tentatively concluded
that 
the end of the Old Kingdom in Egypt, which Schaeffer had included
as 
part of the first wave of Early Bronze Age catastrophes in the
Middle 
East, could also have been contemporaneous with the end of the 
Chalcolithic in the western Mediterranean, the fall of the
Harappan 
civilisation in India, and the end of the Neolithic in
northwestern 
Europe [19]. One of the sites associated with the last-mentioned
event, 
Skara Brae in Orkney [4], was investigated by Brian Moore and
Peter 
James, who concluded that the evidence was consistent with a 
catastrophic destruction around 2300 BC [24]. 
More generally, archaeological, geological and climatic evidence
for a 
world-wide catastrophic event around 2300 BC was presented in the
pages 
of the SIS Review by the American engineer, Moe Mandelkehr [20,
21, 
22]. At this time, for example, there were global crustal
deformations, 
sea-level discontinuities, earthquakes, volcanic activity, a 
geomagnetic transient and a transient in the atmospheric
radiocarbon 
concentration [22].
The First SIS Cambridge Conference, held between 16-18 July 1993,
was 
entitled "Evidence that the Earth has Suffered Catastrophes
of Cosmic 
Origin in Historic Times". At this conference, Bob Porter
outlined the 
destructions which had occurred at various sites during the
Bronze Age, 
and concluded that there was strong evidence of a widespread 
catastrophe of possible extraterrestrial origin only towards the
end of 
the Early Bronze Age. Even here, however, there was doubt about
the 
precise dating of events at the different sites. Catastrophic
events at 
the end of the Middle Bronze Age, and at other times, remained a 
possibility but, if any had occurred, they were on a much smaller
scale 
than had been envisaged by Velikovsky [29]. A similar conclusion
was 
also reached by the Old Testament historian, John Bimson [3].
Both 
Porter and Bimson considered comets to be a far more plausible
cause of 
Bronze Age catastrophes than planetary encounters.
All who attended the First Cambridge Conference considered it to
be a 
great success, characterised by stimulating discussions on a wide
range 
of topics. However, in retrospect, the SIS Council thought that, 
perhaps, the programme had been too wide ranging. Despite the
title 
there had been papers on, for example, the age of the Earth, the
age of 
Venus, and the identity of Job, and there had also been one (by
Victor 
Clube) on catastrophes in the Christian Era, as well as those
focusing 
on events in earlier times. Hence, when planning the Second
Cambridge 
Conference, it was decided to narrow the title to include only
Bronze 
Age catastrophes and, apart from papers concerned with
present-day 
scientific findings which could throw light on past events, to
exclude 
from the formal programme topics which were not clearly related
to the 
subject of the conference.
On the other hand, the meaning of Bronze Age was interpreted
loosely, 
partly for reasons which, since not all who read these
Proceedings are 
likely to be particularly knowledgeable about archaeology, may
need a 
brief explanation. The term refers, of course, to a time
characterised 
by the use of bronze weapons and tools, but it was not an 
all-or-nothing situation: iron was used, albeit rarely, in the
Bronze 
Age, and bronze continued to be used in the Iron Age.
In any case, metals (of whatever type) were far from common, so
the 
different levels at particular locations are generally classified
on 
some other basis, e.g. style of pottery, enabling correlations to
be 
attempted between different sites, but not without some element
of 
subjectivity. Also, the introduction of a new metal-working
technique 
has to start somewhere, and it could take a long time for it to
spread 
to a far-off region, or to be developed independently. Hence, the
Bronze Age undoubtedly started and finished at different times in
different places. For example, as we have already noted, the
Early 
Bronze Age in the Middle East overlapped to a considerable extent
with 
the Neolithic in north-western Europe. Furthermore, it is
generally 
believed that the Iron Age in some locations did not begin for
several 
centuries after the end of the Bronze Age, the intervening period
being 
a Dark Age, thus complicating the picture still further. So, a
broad 
view was taken by the organisers of the Second Cambridge
Conference as 
to the period covered by the term Bronze Age and, in consequence,
it 
should be understood that it was concerned with events between
about 
3500 BC and 500 BC.
2. The Proceedings
The first paper in the Proceedings is based on the keynote
address by 
science journalist Robert Matthews. In this, Matthews makes two
main 
points: (1) that observations made in the distant past may be far
more 
accurate than we generally assume; and (2) that, because of the
dangers 
from asteroids and comets, the Earth is not, and never has been,
a safe 
place to live. He concludes with a quotation from George
Santayana: 
Those who do not remember the past are condemned to relive
it.
Then follows a series of papers by astronomers concerned with
those 
hazards from space. Firstly, Mark Bailey reviews recent advances
in our 
knowledge of Near-Earth objects, some of which originated in the 
cometary regions of the Solar System and some in the main
asteroid 
belt. Calculations indicate that giant comets are likely to come
into 
the inner Solar System and break up every 0.1 to 1 million years.
Bailey points out that it is now sometimes difficult to make a
clear 
distinction between asteroids and comets. Regardless of that,
they 
undoubtedly pose a threat, and some may have struck the Earth in
the 
astronomically-recent past.
Bill Napier then assembles data from a variety of sources to
present a 
picture of the current interactions between the Earth and its
cosmic 
environment. In his view, the Taurid/Encke complex of
interplanetary 
material has been a regular and occasionally conspicuous hazard
over 
the past 12,000 years or more. This has resulted in impacts such
as 
that which devastated the Tunguska region of Siberia in 1908; in
an 
occasional contamination of the stratosphere by cometary dust,
leading 
to freezing episodes which may have lasted decades; and in
small-body 
impacts into an ocean, causing catastrophic flooding of coastal
areas.
After these two papers comes one from Duncan Steel which is more 
speculative, although based on the same astronomical data and 
interpretations. Steel makes the intriguing suggestion that the 
construction around 3500 BC of the Great Cursus near Stonehenge, 
and that around 3100 BC of the first stage of Stonehenge itself,
were 
intended as predictors of catastrophes, since these were the 
approximate times when the orbit of the giant proto-Encke comet 
intersected that of the Earth. 
Finally, for this section, Gerrit Verschuur takes both a
scientific and 
a philosophical view of the Earths place in space. Impacts
have been 
the rule rather than the exception, and will be in the future.
The 
problem of humankind is that hope prevents us from seeing that
the 
cosmic events which have destroyed civilisations in the past will
continue to do so, unless we take preventative action.
The next and largest group of papers are concerned with
archaeology, 
geology and climatology. To start this section, Bruce Masse
attempts to 
re-evaluate events on Earth in the light of estimates made by 
astronomers of the rates of impact of asteroids and comets.. On
the 
assumption that 20-30 impacts causing at least local catastrophes
are 
likely to have occurred in the past 6000 years, he examines
literary 
traditions, together with archaeological and palaeo-environmental
data, 
to see if any previously unknown Bronze Age catastrophes can be 
identified. The most significant one appears to be a cometary
impact in 
the ocean around 2800 BC, which released almost a million
megatons of 
energy, causing devastation on a global scale.
After this come three papers which are concerned, at least in
part, 
with happenings around the time of Mandelkehrs supposed
2300 BC 
catastrophic event, close to the end of the Early Bronze Age in
the 
Middle East. Firstly, Marie-Agnès Courty presents new
archaeological 
evidence of a dust layer and burnt surface horizon apparently
caused by 
an air blast in northern Syria around 2350 BC. A previous
hypothesis 
involving a local volcanic eruption has now been rejected, with a
cosmic catastrophe appearing more consistent with the evidence,
but 
whether such an impact event actually took place at the time has
still 
to be established. Regardless of that, Courty stresses the
importance 
of high temporal resolution investigations in the assessment of
causal 
relationships between natural catastrophes and societal collapse.
Evidence for an adverse climate change in Ireland at about the
same 
time, and on several other occasions, is then given by Mike
Baillie. 
Narrowest-ring events in Irish oak chronologies corresponding to
2345 
BC, 1628 BC and 1159 BC line up with similar events in other
tree-ring 
chronologies and also large acidities in Greenland ice records.
They 
also correspond to the approximate ages of the Hekla 4, Santorini
and 
Hekla 3 volcanic eruptions, respectively. However, the
narrowest-ring 
events are imposed on pre-existing climatic downturns, which, as
with 
similar events around 207 BC and 540 AD, suggests a scenario of 
stratospheric dust loading and bombardments from space, the
latter 
triggering or at least augmenting the volcanic eruptions.
Benny Peiser then summarises a survey he has made of around 500
reports 
of late 3rd millennium BC civilisation collapse and climate
change, 
which shows a significant clustering around 2300 BC. Most sites
in 
Europe, the Middle East, India and China where civilisation
collapsed 
at this time show clear signs of natural disasters and/or rapid 
abandonment, whilst around the world there is strong evidence of 
water-level and vegetation changes, glacier and desert expansion,
seismic activity, floods and extinctions of animal species. He 
concludes that only extraterrestrial bodies acting on terrestrial
systems could produce the range of glaciological, geological and 
archaeological features reported.
The next group of papers is concerned with events which are
slightly 
more recent, occurring around the time certain Late Bronze Age
cultures 
came to an end. Firstly, Amos Nur argues that large earthquakes
are 
likely to have contributed to the physical and political collapse
of 
Late Bronze Age civilisations around the eastern Mediterranean.
It is 
known that, every few centuries, massive earthquakes occur in
bursts 
that sweep across about 1000 km of the eastern Mediterranean over
a 
time-scale of approximately 50 years. In Nurs scenario, the
burst at 
the end of the Late Bronze Age probably began between 1225-1175
BC, and 
made urban centres vulnerable to opportunist military attacks.
Then, Lars Franzén and Thomas Larsson present evidence from
sites in 
Tunisia and Sweden showing that a major atmospheric cooling
event, 
accompanied by excessive precipitation, which led to flooding,
occurred 
around 1000 BC. Other sources indicate that the event was sudden
and 
widespread, and the finding of small glassy spherules points to a
possible impact origin. Franzén and Larsson suggest that an
asteroid or 
comet of diameter in the range 0.5-5 km may have landed in the
eastern 
Atlantic around 1000 BC, affecting in particular Europe, North
Africa 
and the Middle East. 
After this, Bas van Geel and colleagues show that a sharp rise in
the 
14C content of the atmosphere towards the end of the Bronze Age
in 
north-western Europe, around 850 BC, was accompanied by a rapid 
transition from a relatively warm and dry climate to one which
was 
cooler and wetter. They suggest that a reduced sunspot activity
at that 
time allowed more high-energy galactic cosmic rays to reach the
top of 
the atmosphere, leading to an increased production of 14C
cloudiness 
and precipitation.
The final paper in the section on archaeology, geology and
climatology 
is by Euan MacKie, who begins by warning that astronomers will
have to 
produce clear evidence of comet swarms or the likelihood of large
impacts at specific dates before most archaeologists will be
willing to 
re-examine their data with this in mind. He then briefly suggests
some 
examples of instances where such a re-examination might be
productive, 
including two around the end of the Bronze Age in north-western
Europe. 
One of these concerns a site ten miles west of Glasgow, where
there are 
two phases of cup and ring rock carvings, the first
perhaps from the 
latter part of the 3rd millennium BC, and the other probably from
the 
6th or 7th century BC. According to Victor Clube and Bill Napier,
these 
could be representations of comets, but that suggestion is not 
currently being taken seriously by archaeologists. The other
example 
concerns the vitrified forts of Scotland, dating from the period
after 
800 BC, whose timber-framed construction might have been intended
as a 
protection against earthquakes.
The Proceedings are then brought to a close by five papers on the
subject of history and culture. In the first paper, Gunnar
Heinsohn 
considers the origins of kingship, priesthood and blood sacrifice
in 
the Early Bronze Age. Nicolas-Antoine Boulanger, in the
eighteenth 
century, believed they were reactions to major catastrophes
taking 
place at the time, but that view has been disregarded almost ever
since. However, in the light of increased knowledge about cosmic 
events, Heinsohn argues that Boulanger was correct after all. 
Re-enacting catastrophic events as rituals involving blood
sacrifice 
would have had a therapeutic effect on traumatised survivors. 
Significantly, according to Heinsohn, there was a gradual
abandonment 
of blood sacrifice in the Iron Age, when cosmic catastrophes were
much 
rarer events than they had been in the Bronze Age. 
Similarly in the next paper, David Pankenier suggests that,
contrary to 
what has generally been supposed, legends and rituals from Bronze
Age 
China may reflect actual events. In particular, around the time
of the 
transition from the Xia to the Shang dynasty in the middle of the
second millennium BC, there is a story of ten suns appearing in
the sky 
and then, a few years later, of five planets criss-crossing, and
stars 
falling like rain, after which there was an earthquake and then a
drought. It would not be difficult to see this as an indication
of the 
appearance of multiple comets in the sky, and impact-induced 
catastrophes. The same or a different cometary catastrophe could
also 
form the basis for the legend of the battles between the wicked
Chi You 
and the Yellow Emperor, which featured in ritual games.
Finally come three papers which, on the assumption that major 
catastrophes were indeed a feature of the Bronze Age and the
first 
few centuries of the first millennium BC (whatever Age one wishes
to 
call this latter period at particular locations), consider how 
humankind reacted when more peaceful times came along. 
Firstly, William Mullen describes how the Milesian School of 
pre-Socratic philosophers in the sixth century BC set out to
explain 
terrifying phenomena such as thunder, lightning, earthquakes and 
eclipses in terms of the same processes which it used to explain
the 
orderly arrangement of the Earth and the heavens, thus moving
away from 
the old view which associated them with the unpredictable
activities of 
the Olympian gods. World-destructions could occur, but only in
cycles 
which stretched over vast periods of time. Mullen suggests that
the 
hidden agenda may have been a desire to reassure the population
that 
they were now safe from the cosmic catastrophes which had
occurred in 
the past.
In similar fashion, Irving Wolfe then argues that a cultural
crisis 
occurred in the sixth century BC, with the appearance of new
religions, 
new philosophies, new art forms, new types of games and new forms
of 
social organisation, all of which were very different from what
had 
existed previously. In many ways, these laid the foundations for
the 
cultural characteristics of our modern age. According to Wolfe,
the 
cost has been that, ever since the middle of the first millennium
BC, 
humankind has been suffering from a collective form of
Post-Traumatic 
Stress Disorder, denying not only past catastrophes, but also the
possibility of future ones.
The denial of past and future cosmic catastrophes was certainly a
feature of the influential philosophy of Aristotle, and has been
a 
characteristic feature of scientific thought over the past few 
centuries. However, in the concluding paper of the Proceedings, 
Victor Clube argues that the situation in between was somewhat 
different. The relatively tranquil period in the middle of the
first 
millennium BC did not last for long, and further episodes of
cosmic 
bombardment conditioned people once again to believe that the
world 
might come to an end in this way. Clube suggests that this
provides 
strong support for coherent rather than stochastic catastrophism,
because frequent small-scale events would keep the issues in
peoples 
minds, which would not be the case if there were vast periods of
time 
between impacts. According to Chinese astronomical records, there
have 
been seven peaks of fireball activity in the past 2000 years, at
times 
which indicate an association with the Taurid/Encke complex.
However, 
the past two centuries have been a quiet period and, because of
the 
influence of Lyell and Darwin (who established the gradualistic 
paradigm, largely for philosophical reasons), and of Newton (who
played 
down the threat from space on religious grounds), the future
seemed 
secure. We now know otherwise but, in contrast to previous
generations, 
who could only hope and/or pray, we may soon have the capability
for 
defending ourselves. However, Clube warns that the prospect of 
safeguarding the future of civilisation is not being helped by
those 
who cling to gradualistic, Earth-centred views, or by those who
adopt 
what he sees as erroneous forms of catastrophism. To produce the
best 
answer, we must fully understand the problem.
Acknowledgements
We are grateful to Alasdair Beal, Birgit Liesching, Bill Napier
and 
David Roth for their help in preparing papers for these
Proceedings.
  
References
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Extraterrestrial cause for the Cretaceous-Tertiary extinction, 
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revised stratigraphy?, in Ages in Chaos? Proceedings of the 
Glasgow Conference, 1978, 16-26, SIS.  
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